Risk, reliability, uncertainty and robustness of water resource systems

Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource Systems is based on the Third George Kovacs Colloquium organized by the International Hydrological Programme (UNESCO) and the International Association of Hydrological Sciences. Thirty-five leading scientists with international reputations provide reviews of topical areas of research on water resource systems, including aspects of extreme hydrological events: floods and droughts; water quantity and quality dams; reservoirs and hydraulic structures; evaluating sustainability and climate change impacts. As well as discussing essential challenges and research directions, the book will assist in applying theoretical methods to the solution of practical problems in water resources. The authors are multi-disciplinary, stemming from such areas as: hydrology, geography, civil, environmental and agricultural engineering, forestry, systems sciences, operations research, mathematics, physics and geophysics, ecology and atmospheric sciences. This review volume will be valuable for graduate students, scientists, consultants, administrators, and practising hydrologists and water managers.

1 IntroductionJanos J. Bogardi and Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz

2 Integrated regional risk assessment and safety management: challenge from agenda 21Adrian Gheorghe

3 Risk analysis: the unbearable cleverness of bluffingV. Klemes

4 Aspects of uncertainty, reliability and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radarRobert J. Moore

5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecastingRoman Krzysztofowicz

6 Flood risk management: risk cartography for objective negotiationsO. Gilard

7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in AustraliaJonathan F. Thomas and Bryson C. Bates

8 Developing an indicator of community's disaster risk awarenessNorio Okada

9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte-Carlo simulationW. Kinzelbach and S. Vassolo and G.-M. Li

10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk modelsThierry Fahmy and Eric Parent and Dominique Gatel

11 Stochastic precipitation-runoff modeling for water yield from a semi-arid forested watershedArgai Tecle and David E. Rupp

12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systemsRichard M. Vogel and Christopher J. Bell and Ranjith R. Suresh and Neil M. Fennessey

13 Hydrological risk under non-stationary conditions changing hydroclimatological inputA. BÃírdossy and L. Duckstein

14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resource systems planning under uncertaintyMichael J. Bender

15 System and component uncertainties in water resourcesBen Chie Yen

16 Managing water quality under uncertainty: application of a new stochastic branch and bound methodB. J. Lence and A. Ruszczynski

17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate changeBijaya P. Shrestha

18 Risk and reliability in water resources management theory and practiceUri Shamir

19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria DanielP. Loucks

20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systemsH. P. Nachtnebel

21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteriaKuniyoshi Takeuchi

22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problemsDarko Milutin and Janos J. Bogardi

23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loadsErich J. Plate

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